Everything you need to know about the new pensions Lump Sum Allowance

The Lump Sum Allowance (LSA) has replaced the old pensions Lifetime Allowance (LTA) as an important tax consideration when it comes to accessing your retirement savings.

The old LTA was an upper limit on the amount of money you could save into a pension without incurring taxable drawbacks. The limit was set at £1,073,100 – a figure which is still relevant which we will come to shortly.

The LTA differs from the pensions annual contribution allowance which is £60,000 – this is how much you can put into a pension tax-free each year. The LTA was the maximum you could ever put into pension savings in total.

As of this tax year it has now been entirely abolished, although it has in practice been redundant since April 2023 when the principal charge was removed. In its place has been implemented a new Lump Sum Allowance (LSA).

What is the Lump Sum Allowance?

The LSA has replaced the LTA as the main lifetime taxable consideration for pensions savings.

When drawing down your pension you are entitled to a tax-free lump sum. When this tax-free lump sum was initially created it was set at 25% of your overall pot.

With the old LTA set at £1,073,100, this in effect created a maximum tax-free lump sum of £268,275 although this was implicit rather than explicit.

What the Government has done now however is make the lump sum allowance explicit – set at the same amount of £268,275. So now you can take a 25% tax-free lump sum from your pension, but £268,275 is the maximum.

On top of that it has created another allowance, called the lump sum and death benefit allowance (LSDBA) set at £1,073,100. The LSDBA differs in that it is the limit on the tax-free cash available on the death of the pension holder, or if a serious ill-health lump sum is taken under the age of 75.

There is also now an overseas transfer allowance also set at £1,073,100. The overseas transfer allowance is relevant if you intend to transfer your pension abroad.

This can only be done to a qualifying recognised overseas pension scheme (QROPS) and can be refused if your provider does not recognise the receiving entity. If it isn’t a QROPS then you’ll face a 40% tax charge, or the provider may refuse to transfer.

What are the tax implications?

The LSA can be triggered when you drawdown your pension and is potentially very valuable to future retirement planning. However, there are some tax implications to consider.

Anything drawn down from a pension above this lump sum will be classed as income and charged at your marginal rate of income tax. However, small lump sum payments of under £10,000 do not count toward the overall limit.

The LSA has also made a subtle but important change in the way in which pension income will be taxed in the future. This is because by creating an official £268,275 maximum for the LSA, the Government in effect created a new kind of potential fiscal drag boundary.

Fiscal drag is a stealth tax used by the Government in recent times to increase its tax take without raiding marginal rates. In effect – if the Government doesn’t increase the LSA in line with inflation in future years, it means that as pension pots increase in value then the Government will increase its overall tax take on the income from those pots, while the value of the allowance diminishes versus inflation.

You must also keep in mind the money purchase annual allowance (MPAA). This is triggered once you draw down pensions funds and will slash your annual contribution limit from £60,000 to just £10,000. This is however an unchanged aspect of pensions and was relevant before the LTA abolition but is still important to be aware of in the context of lump sums.

What is most important therefore is to plan for the rules in front of you. Pensions are not easy products to navigate even at the best of times, so it is essential to consider using the help of a qualified financial adviser to ensure you make the best choices possible for your retirement.


The World In A Week - Diversification is your friend

Written by Chris Ayton

Last week was an extremely volatile one for many global equity markets. The MSCI All Country World Index fell -1.6% over the week in Sterling terms. Global fixed income markets delivered some much-needed diversification with the Bloomberg Global Aggregate Index up +1.7% in Sterling hedged terms. Longer-dated bonds, which are more sensitive to interest rate reductions, were up substantially more.

News was dominated by various interest rate decisions. In the US, the Federal Reserve (“the Fed”) decided to keep their headline rate unchanged despite a slew of negative economic data including weaker employment and manufacturing data. This sent jitters through global equity markets as fears grew that the Fed has missed the boat and the US economy is heading towards a hard landing. Weaker-than-expected earnings result announcements from leading tech names like Intel and Amazon did nothing to quell these fears. The S&P 500 Index fell -1.7% over the week with the technology-dominated Nasdaq 100 Index down -2.7%, both in Sterling terms.

In the UK, the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee did announce their first move, voting 5 against 4 to cut the UK base rate by 0.25% to 5%. Although they cautioned that further cuts were far from certain, they also cheered the market by raising their UK economic growth projections for 2024 from 0.5% to 1.25%. Despite this positive news, the FTSE All-Share Index fell -1.4% over the week.

However, in Japan, we saw the Bank of Japan surprise markets with a rise in their headline interest rate to 0.25%, with the implication that there are more rises to come. While this boosted the Yen, it resulted in concerns over the impact of a strong Yen on the profits of large Japanese exporters, a view that was accentuated by growing fears over the weakness of the US economy. The MSCI Japan Index dropped -6.0% in local terms over the week, although the strength of the Yen reduced that loss to just -1.3% in Sterling terms.

As Sir John Templeton said, "The only investors who shouldn't diversify are those who are right 100% of the time." The uncertainty around policy decisions, and the macro backdrop, have resulted in the return of market volatility as well as rapid changes in the dominant investment styles. Heavily momentum-driven markets have been followed by sharp style reversals and periods where smaller companies and value styles have led the way.  This volatility in markets and styles is likely to continue and is impossible to time. This is where YOU Asset Management’s approach of always maintaining asset class and regional diversification and, within asset classes, blending managers adopting a range of different investment styles can enhance risk-adjusted returns and reduce the volatility in client outcomes. After some years of a narrowly driven stock market, consistent with empirical evidence over longer time periods, prudent diversification is once again your friend.

 

Any opinions stated are honestly held but are not guaranteed and should not be relied upon.  

The information contained in this document is not to be regarded as an offer to buy or sell, or the solicitation of any offer to buy or sell, any investments or products.  

The content of this document is for information only. It is advisable that you discuss your personal financial circumstances with a financial adviser before undertaking any investments.  

All the data contained in the communication is believed to be reliable but may be inaccurate or incomplete.Unless otherwise specified all information is produced as of 5th August 2024. 

© 2024 YOU Asset Management. All rights reserved. 


The World In A Week - Disappointments and Worldwide Shifts

Written by Ilaria Massei 

Equity markets were mostly down last week, with some bright spots in Continental Europe where the MSCI Europe Ex-UK equity index rose by +0.5% and in the UK where the FTSE All Share increased by +1.6% in GBP terms. Fixed Income markets were overall positive, with the Bloomberg Global Aggregate up +0.3% in GBP terms.

Over the past few weeks, the market narrative in the US has partially shifted from strong growth and a healthy economy to disinflation and expectations of lower interest rates in the near future. With inflation and the job market coming under control, markets now anticipate that the central bank in the US, the Federal Reserve, will likely cut interest rates in September. On the corporate front, two of the larger companies in the S&P 500, part of the so-called "magnificent seven," reported some disappointing earnings results last week. Tesla's revenues fell short of expectations, and Alphabet's heavy investment in AI raised concerns about future profitability. This news further fuelled a shift among investors from mega-cap US technology giants to small-cap stocks. As a result, the Russell 2000, an index tracking around 2,000 small-cap companies in the US, rose by +4.0% in GBP last week. The prospect of lower interest rates suggested by weaker economic data should benefit smaller companies, which typically carry more debt and are therefore more sensitive to changes in interest rates.

While the largest shift has been into the Russell 2000 and small caps in the US, the UK has also benefitted from this rotation, leading to a resurgence of UK Equities last week and more broadly this month to date. The FTSE 100 posted a positive +1.6% return last week, making it the best-performing equity market. Meanwhile, the FTSE 250, which tracks mid-sized UK companies, has performed even better on a month to date basis, rising by +5.5%.  UK stocks, which have been out of favour for a long time, are now benefiting from renewed political stability, earnings growth, valuation adjustments, and dividends.

Another notable development last week was observed in Japan, with a significant shift in the Yen’s trajectory. For many years, the Bank of Japan's low interest rate policy, aimed at stimulating the economy, led to a depreciation of the currency against most major currencies. However, the Yen has recently started to strengthen, likely helped by suspected but not yet confirmed government actions to support it. While such measures may have a short-term impact, a clearer indication from the Bank of Japan that the interest rate gap between Japan and other countries is closing could provide the catalyst needed for a more sustained recovery of the Yen.

 

Any opinions stated are honestly held but are not guaranteed and should not be relied upon.  

The information contained in this document is not to be regarded as an offer to buy or sell, or the solicitation of any offer to buy or sell, any investments or products.  

The content of this document is for information only. It is advisable that you discuss your personal financial circumstances with a financial adviser before undertaking any investments.  

All the data contained in the communication is believed to be reliable but may be inaccurate or incomplete.Unless otherwise specified all information is produced as of 29th July 2024. 

© 2024 YOU Asset Management. All rights reserved. 


The World In A Week - Record-Breaking Rotations

Written by Cormac Nevin

Equity markets were broadly down across the globe last week, with the MSCI All Country World Index of global shares retreating -1.6% in GBP. While each of the major markets we track were negative, there was a wide degree of dispersion in returns, with the Chinese market down -4.3%, as measured by the MSCI China, the US market down -1.4%, as measured by the S&P 500, and the Japanese market down -0.6%, as measured by the MSCI Japan, all in GBP terms.

Under the surface of the headline market return, we have witnessed an extraordinary change in the type of stocks which have been driving returns versus those which have been retreating. Market leadership has shifted very abruptly from mega-cap US technology giants (often referred to as the “magnificent seven”) which have dominated returns in recent years, to previously neglected small-cap names which tend to be more sensitive to interest rates and economic growth. Over the 10 days to 19th July 2024, the Russell 2000 Index of smaller U.S. companies outperformed the NASDAQ 100 Index of large-cap tech titans by over +12%. This was the largest such movement between the two types of stocks we have seen since the bursting of the tech bubble in the early 2000s.

A number of plausible catalysts were given by market commentators for this rotation of market winners. Inflation data in the US and globally has continued to come in weaker than anticipated, while economic strength has also undershot expectations. This is viewed as giving central banks a green light to begin cutting interest rates, which is more beneficial for relatively highly indebted small-cap companies vs their cash-rich larger peers. The sharp increase in market probabilities of Donald Trump becoming the new US President is also another potential driver. He has floated the idea of taking US corporate tax rates down to 15%, which again would benefit more domestically-oriented small-caps vs larger companies who can use aggressive international tax planning to shift the burden overseas.

Whatever the future holds, the events of recent weeks have nicely illustrated the benefit of maintaining a highly diverse set of exposures to benefit from changes in leadership, rather than solely relying on index exposures which will naturally be concentrated on past winners.

 

Any opinions stated are honestly held but are not guaranteed and should not be relied upon.  

The information contained in this document is not to be regarded as an offer to buy or sell, or the solicitation of any offer to buy or sell, any investments or products.  

The content of this document is for information only. It is advisable that you discuss your personal financial circumstances with a financial adviser before undertaking any investments.  

All the data contained in the communication is believed to be reliable but may be inaccurate or incomplete. Unless otherwise specified all information is produced as of 22nd July 2024. 

© 2024 YOU Asset Management. All rights reserved. 


The World In A Week - Downside Surprise

Written by Ashwin Gurung

Downside Surprise in US inflation sees US small-cap stocks outshine US large-cap stocks.

In June, US headline inflation, as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), fell by -0.1% month-over-month, lower than the expected increase of +0.1%. While the rate of inflation has been gradually declining since the end of 2022, this marks the first instance of deflation, where prices fell, with the last decline occurring in May 2020. Similarly, core inflation, which excludes the most volatile components of the index such as food and energy costs, came in below expectations of +0.2%, rising by +0.1%.

In contrast, Friday’s Producer Price Index (PPI) data, which measures changes in prices received by producers, rose by +0.2% month-over-month in June, exceeding expectations of +0.1%. Despite this upside surprise, the market showed little reaction, likely due to its minimal impact alongside surprising deflation numbers. While a rising PPI alongside a falling CPI could mean businesses are absorbing costs, prolonged differences might signal potential future inflation if producer costs are eventually passed on to consumers. Having said that, it is important to look at other economic indicators to understand the broader picture.

Nonetheless, the US small-cap stocks cheered the downside surprise in US inflation, as the cooling increased expectations that the Fed might begin cutting interest rates in September. The Russell 2000 Index, which measures the performance of approximately 2000 of the smallest publicly traded companies in the Russell Index, gained +4.4% in GBP terms last week, significantly outperforming the tech-biased Nasdaq 100 which fell -1.8% in GBP terms over the week.

This is a significant shift from the past few years, during which small-cap stocks have struggled due to high interest rates and borrowing costs, while strong US equity index returns have mainly been driven by large AI-focused tech stocks. This rally suggests that returns may be broadening across different market caps, and a possible shift towards small-cap stocks could be on the horizon. Regardless of the market trends, we maintain diversification across various asset classes and market caps, enabling us to capture opportunities while managing risk effectively.

 

Any opinions stated are honestly held but are not guaranteed and should not be relied upon.  

 The information contained in this document is not to be regarded as an offer to buy or sell, or the solicitation of any offer to buy or sell, any investments or products.   

The content of this document is for information only. It is advisable that you discuss your personal financial circumstances with a financial adviser before undertaking any investments.  

All the data contained in the communication is believed to be reliable but may be inaccurate or incomplete.Unless otherwise specified all information is produced as of 15th July 2024.

© 2024 YOU Asset Management. All rights reserved. 


The World In A Week - Labour’s Landslide

Written by Dominic Williams

Labour wins big, as markets remain calm, but challenges lie on the road ahead.

The predictions of Labour’s landslide victory materialised in the early hours of Friday morning, with the party winning 412 seats out of 650 in the House of Commons. The victory did not come as a shock, given that polls in the run-up to the election had predicted this outcome. Although Labour’s national vote share has barely changed since the 2019 election, increased support from Scotland boosted their seat count, as Labour took seats from the SNP. This victory gives Labour a strong mandate to move forward with their pledges. It is expected that they will remain fiscally disciplined, initially adopting the Conservatives' fiscal rules to reduce debt in the medium term, with a focus on growth to boost GDP. There may be a need for the new government to borrow for some of their plans, however markets may be more favourable to them than to the Tories, given the expected increased stability of the government remaining intact.

The expected win has been welcomed by markets, with the more domestically focused FTSE 250 increasing by +0.9% over the day on Friday. The broader FTSE All Share index rounded off the week rising by +0.8%. Government borrowing costs did not move much on Friday after the results, with 10-year gilt yields slightly dropping from 4.18% to 4.14%. Early gains from the election result were seen in housebuilding stocks, as it is expected that Labour will use their strong political capital in their first few days in power to announce planning reforms. The first true test for the new Chancellor, Rachel Reeves, will be her first budget, which will be presented in early autumn. This will show markets where her commitments lie, whether there will be an increase in taxes not mentioned in the manifesto, and if there are plans for further government borrowing or public sector cuts.

France’s first round of parliamentary elections concluded with Marine Le Pen’s right-wing party, Rassemblement National (RN), declaring victory. This left the country’s left-wing and centrist parties rallying together to try to prevent RN from gaining power by withdrawing candidates to favour those more likely to succeed against their RN opponents in the second round of voting. Markets reacted positively to these moves, with the MSCI Europe ex UK index returning +0.8% over the week, in GBP terms. The tactic appears to have worked, although the situation has left no single party with a majority, resulting in a hung parliament. This result is expected to cause a period of uncertainty.

US stocks continued their positive streak, with the S&P 500 finishing the week up +0.7%, in GBP terms. On Friday, data showed that the US labour market was beginning to show signs of cooling. The unemployment rate rose to 4.1% in June, surprising market expectations which had forecast the rate to remain unchanged from the month before at 4%. The Federal Reserve (the Fed) will be monitoring these numbers closely. As inflation slows down and unemployment begins to rise, these trends pave the way for the Fed to begin cutting rates.

Japan’s corporate governance reforms are benefiting Japanese companies, as the Topix, a broad-based Japanese index, hit a record high on Thursday. The index peaked at 2898.47, finishing the week up +1.3%, in GBP terms. Additionally, investors are betting on the artificial intelligence boom and the benefits it may bring to high-end Japanese manufacturers.

 

Any opinions stated are honestly held but are not guaranteed and should not be relied upon.  

The information contained in this document is not to be regarded as an offer to buy or sell, or the solicitation of any offer to buy or sell, any investments or products.  

The content of this document is for information only. It is advisable that you discuss your personal financial circumstances with a financial adviser before undertaking any investments.  

All the data contained in the communication is believed to be reliable but may be inaccurate or incomplete. Unless otherwise specified all information is produced as of 7th July 2024. 

© 2024 YOU Asset Management. All rights reserved. 


The World In A Week - French Uncertainty vs US Optimism

Written by Dominic Williams

The snap election in France continues to cause fear in markets.

The week ended with modest gains for US stocks, with small caps performing best, as evidenced by the Russell 2000, an index composed of 2000 small cap companies, gaining +1.6%, in GBP terms. Additionally, the Technology sector continued to perform strongly, and growth stocks outperformed their value counterparts. The technology-heavy Nasdaq index finished the week up +0.2%.

The US Core Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE Index) showed that prices paid by consumers, excluding food and energy, rose by +0.1% in May. This is a deceleration from April’s upwardly revised figure of +0.3%. The Core PCE is the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation, and this deceleration suggests a potential path towards an interest rate cut in September.

Political uncertainty persists in France following Emmanuel Macron's snap election call. Both the far-right and far-left are in the lead in the polls, proposing policies to reverse Macron’s fiscal reforms, some of which include populist ideas conflicting with EU fiscal rules. Despite Le Pen's party scaling back on costly proposals such as delaying the reversal of Macron’s pension reforms, many unfunded policies remain, raising concerns over fiscal responsibility. A parliament dominated by extreme parties could lead to political gridlock, intensifying uncertainty and instability. Markets responded negatively, with the MSCI Europe ex-UK falling by -0.7% in GBP terms over the week.

In Japan, markets rose over the week. The MSCI Japan Index rose by +0.5% in GBP terms. The continued weakness of the yen supported export-heavy industries. While there were expectations of official intervention to stabilise the yen, only verbal reassurances were provided. Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki stated that authorities were “deeply concerned” about the impacts of “rapid and one-sided” currency movements. Suzuki affirmed the view that excessive volatility in the currency market is undesirable and that authorities would respond appropriately.

 

Any opinions stated are honestly held but are not guaranteed and should not be relied upon.  

The information contained in this document is not to be regarded as an offer to buy or sell, or the solicitation of any offer to buy or sell, any investments or products.  

The content of this document is for information only. It is advisable that you discuss your personal financial circumstances with a financial adviser before undertaking any investments.  

All the data contained in the communication is believed to be reliable but may be inaccurate or incomplete.Unless otherwise specified all information is produced as of 1st July 2024.

© 2024 YOU Asset Management. All rights reserved.


The World In A Week - A broken record on market concentration

Written by Cormac Nevin

While we run the risk of sounding like a broken record by highlighting the extreme concentration on display in U.S and Global Equity indices, we think that the consequences are too profound for investors to ignore.

Last week witnessed Nvidia, the current darling of U.S equity markets benefiting from the AI infrastructure build-out, surge to become the world’s most valuable listed company. Nvidia’s market capitalisation (the value of all its outstanding shares) briefly eclipsed that of Microsoft on Wednesday before retreating on Thursday. Since 31st December 2022, Nvidia’s market cap has risen by $2.77 trillion (for context, the size of the UK economy is $2.74 trillion). The top five stocks in the S&P 500 Index by weight now constitute a record 27.1% of the Index as of May 2024. For context, this was 16% in August 2018 and only reached 18% at the height of the 2000s dot.com mania. Stock market indices are demonstrating radically reduced levels of diversification.

Such extraordinary share price moves are increasingly consequential in the context of markets now dominated by “passive” investors who only seek to replicate an index and will automatically buy more and more of a given stock as its market cap increases, creating a self-reinforcing dynamic which propels it higher. Over the last month, the largest purchasers of Nvidia stock have been index-tracking marketing participants in the form of Vanguard and BlackRock/iShares, while insiders such as the CEO, Jensen Huang, have been sellers.

The phenomenon of market capitalisation-weighted indices becoming dominated by fewer and fewer stocks is not just limited to the U.S markets. It can also be observed in global equity markets such as the MSCI World Index, which in turn have become dominated by the large U.S names which reduce geographic and sector diversification. For the year to date, the market cap-weighted MSCI World Index has outperformed its Equal Weighted equivalent by +12.9% vs +3.9%. As we have highlighted in the past, the MSCI World Momentum Index is now up a stunning +26.9% as the past winners keep winning!

Under these conditions of extreme concentration and momentum, we think it is exceptionally important to participate in the upside while maintaining our approach of diversification across geographies, across the market cap spectrum and with actively controlled allocations. These sorts of dynamics have a habit of reversing very violently after the last dollar of FOMO flows has been spent.

 

Any opinions stated are honestly held but are not guaranteed and should not be relied upon.  

The information contained in this document is not to be regarded as an offer to buy or sell, or the solicitation of any offer to buy or sell, any investments or products.  

The content of this document is for information only. It is advisable that you discuss your personal financial circumstances with a financial adviser before undertaking any investments.  

All the data contained in the communication is believed to be reliable but may be inaccurate or incomplete.Unless otherwise specified all information is produced as of 24th June 2024. 

© 2024 YOU Asset Management. All rights reserved. 


The World In A Week - Surprises on the Downside, Right Side, and Left Side

Written by Ilaria Massei

Last week was generally positive for Fixed Income and Equities in the US, with the Bloomberg U.S. Treasury 20+ Years Index delivering +3.4%, while the tech-heavy NASDAQ 100 Index returned +3.5%, in US dollar terms. This was partly due to the annual inflation rate, released last Wednesday, which surprised on the downside at 3.3%, raising hopes of an imminent interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve (Fed). The annual core inflation rate, which excludes food and energy prices, also surprised on the downside, easing to 3.4%. Although the Fed maintained the interest rate unchanged at this June’s meeting, comments from Fed President Jerome Powell have reiterated that a first cut in September remains possible, should data over the summer continue to moderate. However, the dot plot graphic, which presents Fed officials' expectations for interest rates, has shown that expectations have shifted from three rate cuts this year to just one.

In both Europe and the UK, electoral turmoil has been a drag last week on Equities with the MSCI Europe Ex-UK falling by -3.5% and the FTSE All Share returning -1.3%, in GBP terms. Last weekend’s EU elections signalled a shift in preferences towards right-wing parties, and a major political shock came from French President Emmanuel Macron, who decided to call a snap election three years earlier than expected, following his party's defeat by Le Pen’s National Rally.  This gamble was not well received by markets and French equities endured a particularly tough week.

In China, the annual inflation rate released last Wednesday came in below expectations at 0.3%, slightly below forecasts and the annual Producer Price Index, a leading indicator of inflation, printed at -1.4%. These numbers reiterate that consumer confidence is still weak and slow to recover, despite numerous measures from Beijing to support the economy and markets over the past year. The government has sent a clear signal of its aim to stabilise and support the property sector, a significant component of China’s economy. However, such initiatives can be challenging to implement and will likely take time to materialise.

 

Any opinions stated are honestly held but are not guaranteed and should not be relied upon.  

The information contained in this document is not to be regarded as an offer to buy or sell, or the solicitation of any offer to buy or sell, any investments or products.  

The content of this document is for information only. It is advisable that you discuss your personal financial circumstances with a financial adviser before undertaking any investments.  

All the data contained in the communication is believed to be reliable but may be inaccurate or incomplete.Unless otherwise specified all information is produced as of 17th June 2024. 

© 2024 YOU Asset Management. All rights reserved. 


Artificial Intelligence

The World In A Week - The starting gun gets fired

Written by Chris Ayton

Last week was a positive week for both bonds and equities, supported by technology-related earnings results in the US as well as the starting gun being fired on interest rate reductions by major central banks.  The MSCI All Country World Index rose +1.2% over the week. Within global fixed income markets, the Bloomberg Global Aggregate Index rose +0.4% in Sterling hedged terms, with longer-dated bonds, which are more sensitive to interest rate reductions, posting some of the strongest returns.

In the US, a prominent index that tracks factory activity declined more than expected highlighting weakened activity in housing, construction and capital investment.  The market took this as a sign of potential economic slowdown and a data point that could provide further scope for the Federal Reserve to start to cut interest rates, although this view was later tempered by some stronger than expected labour market data.  The US equity market (S&P 500 +1.4% over the week in GBP terms) was also supported by continued strength in US chip maker, Nvidia, as it unveiled its next generation of Artificial Intelligence chips ahead of schedule. In the process, Nvidia’s market capitalisation surpassed $3 trillion, overtaking Apple to become the world’s second-largest listed company. Incredibly, one third of the S&P 500 Index’s +13% return in 2024 has come solely from Nvidia’s meteoric rise.

In Europe, financial news was led by the European Central Bank (ECB) reducing its benchmark interest rate by 0.25%, its first cut in over 5 years. However, ECB President, Christine Lagarde, said further rate cuts would be dependent on inflationary pressures easing further, something that will not be aided by recent data indicating upticks in both inflation and wages in Europe.  Nevertheless, the MSCI Europe ex-UK Index was up +1.3% for the week in GBP terms.

News in Asia was dominated by a surprise election result in India.  Based on exit polls, Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s BJP Party was expected to extend its existing parliamentary majority. However, on the contrary, they lost their overall majority. Although Mr. Modi will remain in power, his BJP party are going to have to rely on the support of an alliance of other smaller like-minded parties in order to pass further groundbreaking and business friendly economic, land and labour reforms that India requires in order to support its drive to become Asia’s new manufacturing powerhouse.

 

Any opinions stated are honestly held but are not guaranteed and should not be relied upon.  

The information contained in this document is not to be regarded as an offer to buy or sell, or the solicitation of any offer to buy or sell, any investments or products.  

The content of this document is for information only. It is advisable that you discuss your personal financial circumstances with a financial adviser before undertaking any investments.  

All the data contained in the communication is believed to be reliable but may be inaccurate or incomplete. Unless otherwise specified all information is produced as of 10th June 2024. 

© 2024 YOU Asset Management. All rights reserved.